New polls: Democrats in decent shape across the Frost Belt
A series of new Reuters/Ipsos/University of Virginia Center for Politics polls found Democrats ahead in a host of Senate and gubernatorial races in five mostly Midwest states that President Trump carried in 2016, in some cases by sizable margins. However, the polling did find two very close contests for Indiana Senate and Ohio governor. The polls found the following results for the Senate and gubernatorial races among likely voters in the five states surveyed (*indicates incumbent): Indiana Senate: Joe Donnelly* (D) 46%, Mike Braun (R) 43% Michigan Senate: Debbie Stabenow* (D) 55%, John James (R) 35% Michigan Governor: Gretchen Whitmer (D) 52%, Bill Schuette (R) 39% Ohio Senate: Sherrod Brown* (D) 50%, Jim Renacci (R) 39% Ohio Governor: Mike DeWine (R) 45%, Richard Cordray (D) 44% Pennsylvania Senate: Bob Casey Jr.* (D) 53%, Lou Barletta (R) 37% Pennsylvania Governor: Tom Wolf* (D) 55%, Scott Wagner (R) 38% Wisconsin Senate: Tammy Baldwin* (D) 52%, Leah Vukmir (R) 39% Wisconsin Governor: Tony Evers (D) 50%, Scott Walker* (R) 43% President Donald Trump’s approval rating among likely voters was net negative in all five states, and only in Indiana was he close to breaking even: Indiana: 48% approve-51% disapprove Michigan: 39%-59% Ohio: 45%-54%